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Prediction markets

14 active markets · category “Science”

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Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Hong Wang
Hong Wang98%
John Pardon
John Pardon98%9 more
$643KVol. Jul 30science
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

3rd hottest
3rd hottest48%
1st hottest
1st hottest44%2 more
$20KVol. Jul 31science
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.15–1.19ºC44%
1.20–1.24ºC39%4 more
$8.0KVol. Aug 1science
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

October 31
October 3161%
December 31
December 3157%2 more
$1.4KVol. Jan 1science
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

≤6
32%YesNo
7
16%YesNo
NEW $1.1KVol. Jul 19science
Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

450-475mm
450-475mm18%
<400mm
<400mm17%8 more
$3.8KVol. Jul 31science
Precipitation in NYC in July?

Precipitation in NYC in July?

4-5"
4-5"35%
5-6"
5-6"30%4 more
$1.9KVol. Jul 31science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

0
49%YesNo
1
37%YesNo
NEW $560.64Vol. Jul 19science
Precipitation in Seoul in July?

Precipitation in Seoul in July?

100mm+98%
90-100mm2%6 more
$6.1KVol. Jul 31science
Precipitation in London in July?

Precipitation in London in July?

60-70mm
60-70mm37%
70-80mm
70-80mm28%5 more
$2.4KVol. Jul 31science
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

6%

chance

YesNo
$119KVol. Mar 31science
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

12%

chance

YesNo
$576KVol. Dec 31science