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Prediction markets
9 active markets
· category “Oil”
How it works
How to trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
11%
chance
Yes
No
$771K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$238
62 trading now
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
40+
99%
30+
39%
5 more
$983K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
54 trading now
Crude Oil all time high by...?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$1.69M
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$185
60 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
27%
chance
Yes
No
$250K
Vol.
Sep 30
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$94
45 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?
0-20
66%
20-40
26%
3 more
$147K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$38
52 trading now
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
14%
chance
Yes
No
$38K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$81
49 trading now
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 13?
<100
80%
100-124
11%
3 more
$10K
Vol.
Jul 19
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$31
38 trading now
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
46%
December
12%
5 more
$46K
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$55
41 trading now
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of July 20?
240-249
38%
<220
37%
4 more
NEW
$318.56
Vol.
Jul 26
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$67
34 trading now
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